The Mountain Forecast

by Bob Truman on November 25, 2014

in XC

With all the snow in the forecast, I thought this might be an interesting exercise for my readers. There are numerous weather forecasts on the internet to choose from including The Weather Network, Environment Canada, Farm Zone, and the most unusual one of all, the Mountain Forecast.

The Mountain Forecast will give you a highly detailed forecast for individual mountains throughout the Rockies. For example, here’s the forecast for Mt Rundle:

The forecast for Mt Rundle. Click for a larger image

The forecast for Mt Rundle. Click for a larger image

It also gives you a couple different forecasts for each mountain depending on the elevation.  For Mt Rundle, you can get the forecast at 2000 metres and at the top, 2949 metres.

To put things in perspective, 2000 metres is about 700 metres higher than the town of Canmore. You’ll get a lot more snow at 2000 metres than you will at 1300 metres. The Goat creek trailhead which is near Mt Rundle, is at 1680 metres.

I’ve compiled a table which gives the predicted snowfall over the next three days of certain mountains which are near cross-country ski trails. Now don’t get too excited by the amounts because most of the elevations of the ski trails are a lot lower. Hopefully half of this amount will make it down to the trails.

The top of Elk pass is about 2000 metres. Do you know which mountain in the table is near Elk pass? Will it receive the predicted amount of snow?

Mountain forecast
Barbara B sent this reply to the quiz, and got them all correct:

Hi Bob -
Thanks for an interesting riddle.  A couple of these had me stumped, trying to figure out which portion of a trail is closer to a mountain.  For example, Bill Milne and Kananaskis Village Trails – where are they closer to Mount Kidd & The Wedge.  And is Spray River or Goat Creek more along Rundle, or which one of these could be punted over to tunnel Mountain?  Plus, I think the colour-coding was in there to throw us off.  Kept me occupied for a while as I sit here recovering from foot surgery and trying to find out when, oh when, I’ll be able to ski again. I look at all those trip reports longingly …
Barbara
Answers from Barabara B

Answers from Barbara B

 

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Good news from Lake Louise

November 25, 2014
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-Moraine Lake road was trackset and groomed for skating this morning. Photo by Tracksetters Jeff and Andrew.- Here’s a summary of today’s events and reports:

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It’s snowing on Moraine Lake road!

November 24, 2014
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-Marlene is ecstatic over the fresh snow.- I have lots to talk about from an eventful day on my cross-country skis

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West Bragg Creek

November 24, 2014

Report from Alf Skrastins: I was at West Bragg Creek Sunday. I counted 94 vehicles in the parking lot. There were people on the trails mountain biking, dog walking, hiking, trail running, snowshoeing, and XC skiing.

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Where’s the snow?

November 22, 2014
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We’re getting a little antsy around here. No skiable snow to speak of in Banff, Kananaskis, or Yoho. This is not unusual, of course, but we’re all eagerly anticipating

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Two good choices for the weekend

November 21, 2014
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I skied at Canmore Nordic Centre this morning where the skiable distance is up to 5.4K thanks to the partial opening of the Olympic trail. The competition trails

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Steve Riggs wins the Fischer skis

November 21, 2014
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Congratulations to Steve Riggs, the winner of the Fischer skis contest. Many of you will recognize Steve’s name as one of this blog’s trip reporters

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More trails open at CNC

November 20, 2014
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An additional 600 metres of snow was open for skiing this morning at Canmore Nordic Centre on the Centennial trail. That’s one of the competition trails

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All the way from Maine to ski on Canmore’s snow

November 18, 2014
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Despite the lack of snow so far, we have a couple venues where the skiing is pretty good, namely Canmore Nordic Centre and Moraine Lake road.

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The West Bragg “sh** show”

November 18, 2014

The below comment was posted on the Dog-friendly ski trails page. In the interests of full disclosure, I am a dog-lover and I would go skiing at West Bragg just to see all the dogs, but Kelly has a different opinion:

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Seeing is believing

November 17, 2014
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-Donna and Kathy are on the way back with 8K to go.- Dave Allen must be a magician who drives a snowmobile. I don’t know what kind of wizardry

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MLR really was trackset

November 16, 2014
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Tracksetter Jeff from Lake Louise sent me the definitive report, along with the above photo, regarding Moraine Lake road:  “Dave did trackset MLR ( up and down track ). Seems to have turned out ok…” 

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Good-bye Frozen Thunder, hello CNC

November 15, 2014
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The ski area formerly known as Frozen Thunder served its purpose well. Now we’ll put it to rest for another year, and henceforth my updates will refer to Canmore

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Friday night update

November 14, 2014
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-The Great Divide at Lake Louise has better snow cover the further you go. Photo by Chuck O’Callaghan.- Thanks to all the trip reports, we have a good idea where to find

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XC ski conditions at Lake Louise

November 14, 2014
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-The Great Divide is rough but skiable.- Yesterday(Thursday), I checked all the packed trails at Lake Louise. We’re usually

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Shaganappi and Tramline are packed

November 13, 2014
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I received an email this morning from Alasdair regarding Shaganappi conditions.  …and here’s the latest from Jeff at Lake Louise:

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Confederation Golf Course; Great Divide

November 12, 2014
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I’ve updated the link for the Confederation Golf Course Trail Report. Mary Jane tells me “we will post updated grooming reports on our home page and ‘sticky’ them

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A rejuvenated Frozen Thunder

November 11, 2014
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All we needed was some cold weather and new snow to create excellent conditions on Frozen thunder at the Canmore Nordic Centre. It was worth shutting it down for one day, because the transformation is remarkable.

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Ski season is here!

November 10, 2014
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-Hannah, Janice and Charlie were on the way back when I met them about 4K along.- (First things first: I know that Calgarians are curious to know the conditions on the golf courses, so here’s a Shaganappi update)

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Good news re: Moraine Lake road

November 10, 2014
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-After packing/rolling today, Moraine Lake road should look something like this.- Tracksetter Jeff at Lake Louise sent me an

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